Los Angeles Lakers vs. Dallas Mavericks Prediction, Preview and Odds


O Los Angeles Lakers (13-19, 5th Pacific) visit the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas, on Christmas afternoon to play the dallas mavericks (17-16, 3rd Southwest). Los Angeles has lost each of its last three games following a 134-130 loss to the Charlotte Hornets on Friday night. During their current three-game losing streak, the Lakers have allowed an average of 132.7 points per game. Dallas defeated the Houston Rockets 112-106 on Friday night in their second straight game, Luka Doncic scored 50 points in the win. Anthony Davis, Cole Swider and Juan Toscano-Anderson are out of Los Angeles. Dallas with game without Josh Green and Maxi Kleber, while Jaden Hardy, Reggie Bullock and Dorian Finney-Smith are questionable

Lakers need help on defense

Los Angeles is playing without its best rim guard, Anthony Davis, and his absence is obvious on the court, as the Lakers are allowing an average of 132.7 points per game over the last three games, resulting in three losses. For the season, LA is allowing an average of 117.8 points per game, which is 26th. Opponents are shooting 47.0% overall against the Lakers and 34.8% from behind the three-point line. Los Angeles is averaging 46.3 rebounds per game, 29th in the NBA, and the Lakers are averaging 44.8 rebounds per game. With rebound leader Davis injured, the active rebound leader is LeBron James averaging 8.4 rebounds per contest. Davis averages a team-best 2.1 blocks per game, but without him on the court, the leader is James, averaging just 0.7 blocks per contest. Davis leads the Lakers in steals, but James is second with an average of 1.2 per game.

Los Angeles is averaging 115.7 points per game, sixth in the NBA. The Lakers are shooting 47.8% overall, which is 8th best, and 33.6% from behind the line, which is 26th. Los Angeles is suffering on offense without Davis on the court, as the center is the top scorer with an average of 27.4 points per game. James is the second leading scorer with an average of 27.1 points per game and five other Lakers players are averaging in double digits in scoring. Russell Westbrook is averaging a team-best 7.6 assists per game. Los Angeles averages 14.2 turnovers and an assist-to-turnover ratio of 1.7.

Dallas defense continues to change the sheen

The Dallas Mavericks are sixth in the NBA in points allowed at 109.4 points per game. Opponents are shooting 48.0% overall and 35.9% from behind the three-point line. Dallas is averaging 43.2 rebounds per game, 10th in the NBA, and the Mavericks are averaging just 38.8 rebounds per game. The rebound leader is Luka Doncic with an average of 8.3 rebounds per game. Doncic is the leader in steals with an average of 1.7 per contest, while Christian Wood is the leader of the swat with an average of 0.82 blocks per game.

Dallas is below average in scoring at 23rd with an average of 111.0 points per game. The Mavericks have a shooting percentage of 46.5%, which is 20th, and a 3-point shooting percentage of 35.9%, which is 14th. Doncic is Dallas’ top scorer, averaging 32.8 points per game. Doncic is shooting 49.7% overall and 35.2% from behind the line. Wood is the second leading scorer averaging 16.9 points per game while Spencer Dinwiddie is third averaging 16.5 points per game. Doncic is the leader in assists with an average of 8.7 plates per contest.

Best Bets

Full game side bet


Los Angeles is struggling without Anthony Davis on the court. The Lakers have allowed an average of 132.7 points per game over their last three games, resulting in three straight losses. Los Angeles has failed to cover the spread in five of their last six away games and in each of their last 4 overall. LA struggles away from home against an opponent with a home winning record, failing to cover the spread of each of the last five in that scenario. Head-to-head, the Lakers have failed to cover the spread in each of the last four games played in Dallas and in each of the five games overall between the two. Los Angeles is 26th in points allowed with 117.8 points per game and continues to rise with an injured Davis. Davis leads LA in scoring, rebounding, steals and blocking shots.

Catch the Mavs -8

Prediction: Dallas Mavericks -8

Before you grab the eggnog and sit down to watch the NBA Christmas Marathon, be sure to load up on Mason Folz’ NBA Christmas Picks. He is currently aged 20-9 and has one, two or three game packs available for you! CLICK HERE TO LEARN MORE.

Full Game Total Choice


The Lakers can’t stop anybody. Los Angeles has allowed an average of 132.6 points per game over the last three games, all finished. The Lakers conceded 134 points to Charlotte, 134 points to Sacramento and 130 points to Phoenix in each of those three games. The total ended in each of the last five games Los Angeles has played away from home and in seven of the last nine games overall. The total ended in five of the last seven games that Dallas played at home against the team that has been losing away from home.

Take charge.

Forecast: OVER 226.5

Written by
Kevin Vallego, “Kevin V.”

Kevin grew up in a sports-only household. Every afternoon was set to watch whatever sport was on TV. After years of watching sports he was introduced to the world of betting and soon stats, trends and odds became Kevin’s best friend. Now, almost 2 decades later, his life revolves around sports, writing about them and betting on them. We are happy to have Kevin on our Winners & Whiners & StatSalt teams and you should be happy to have him too.