Memphis Grizzlies vs Golden State Warriors Prediction, Preview and Odds

TECHNOLOGY

The Memphis Grizzlies (20-11) meet the Golden State Warriors (15-18) at the Chase Center for an 8 pm ET performance on Christmas Day. The Grizzlies are 6.5-point favorites, with the total set at 229 points.

Grizzlies welcome Warriors after Suns 25-point loss

memphis snapped a two-game losing streak on Friday with a 125-100 win over Phoenix, easily covering as a three-point favorite. Now second in the West and six games ahead of Golden State, the Grizzlies are more than ready for their rematch in the 2022 Western Conference Semifinals. Memphis fell 110-96 in a Game 6 elimination matchup last time out that the two faced each other and waited for the moment to take revenge all year long.

Star point guard and former No. 2 overall pick Ja Morant leads the Grizzlies with 26.5 points and 7.9 assists, ranking in the league’s top 15 in both categories. Desmond Bane follows Morant in scoring at 24.1 points per game (No. 21 in the NBA), while Steven Adams holds first place in rebounds with 10.2 rebounds per game (No. 9). Memphis currently ranks seventh highest in points per game (115.7) on a clip shooting 46.8% overall. Danny Green (knee) is out of Sunday’s fight.

Warriors take on rival Memphis without Curry and Wiggins

Since two-time MVP Stephen Curry went down with a left shoulder injury on Dec. warriors went 1-3, including a 143-113 loss to Brooklyn last time out. Needless to say, Golden State failed to cover the 30-point stunner despite being the double-digit underdog (+10.5). Curry, who remains out Sunday and is expected to be reevaluated in two weeks, will be sorely missed as he leads the Warriors with 30 points (No. 6 in the NBA) and 6.8 assists (No. 16) per game. With Golden State still one game away from play-in, sitting 11th in the West, Klay Thompson and company will need to take a big step.

Golden State is also shorthanded beyond Curry. Andrew Wiggins (abdominal), Andre Iguodala (hip) and JaMychal Green (quarantine) are also out, while Draymond Green (foot) is QUESTIONABLE and Donte DiVincenzo (illness) is LIKELY against Memphis. On the season, the Warriors are averaging fifth-highest points per game (116.5) on tenth-best field goal percentage (47.8) and fifth-best three-point percentage (38) in the NBA.

Best Bets

Full game side bet

Evaluation:


I’m taking the Grizzlies and the points. Golden State is just 1-3 ATS in its last four games without Curry, and in those three losses, the average margin of defeat is 26.7 points. Not to mention, the average margin over the last 10 games of this series is +2.6 in favor of Memphis, as the Grizzlies are 7-3 ATS in that span. Memphis is also 7-2-1 ATS in its last 10 games (covering three spreads at -6.5 or more) and 12-3 ATS in its last 15 against Pacific Division opponents. Meanwhile, the Warriors are 2-4 ATS in their last six games played on a Sunday. If you want a treat, side with Morant’s squad to give the Warriors another ATS defeat over Christmas.

Forecast: Grizzlies -6.5

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Full Game Total Choice

Evaluation:


Give me the over. I don’t trust the Warriors’ scoring defense — ranked 27th in the league (117.9 ppg allowed) — as much as I can pitch it in this spot, especially when Memphis is a top seven scorer. Golden State has lost 125.8 points per game since Curry went down, averaging 109.8 points over the same period. On the other hand, the Grizzlies have scored 125 points or more in three of their last five games. The balance is also 6-0 in the last six matches of the Warriors and 5-1 in the last six against the Western Conference competition. After what we just witnessed happen with the Warriors against Brooklyn, knowing that Memphis has two top 25 scorers, there’s no way I’m going to touch the under here.

Forecast: More than 229

Written by
Trevor Ritchie, “Trevor Ritchie”

Trevor Ritchie has built his entire career in the sports media industry with most of the last decade dedicated to betting analysis. Now we’ve added Trevor to the Stat Salt team with experience covering the NFL (Saints), NBA (Pelicans), NCAA (Southern Miss/Michigan), combat sports and more. He graduated from Southern Mississippi in 2019 with a degree in News/Editorial Journalism and uses a wide range of analytics to analyze every major contest. Follow him daily on his social media channels (@ritchietmr) to stay ahead of all sports betting needs. We are delighted to have Trevor as part of our growing team.

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